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ECONOMICS 180

PRINCIPLES OF MACROECONOMICS

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CHAPTER 5 - NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING

MEASURES OF OUTPUT AND INCOME

NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING is a measure of aggregate economic activity.

  • It includes GDP, REAL GDP and other measures of economic activity.

  • It is a process of counting the value of the flows between sectors and then summing them to find the total value of economic activity in the economy

  • It fills dollar values into the circular flow (see Figure 3.1, Page 46).

  • It summarizes the level of production in an economy over a specific period of time, typically a year.

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

GDP adds up all goods and services produced by the economy. In calculating GDP, we use prices or money (dollar) value to create a measure of total output.

GDP is the market value of all final goods and services produced in a year within a country’s borders. It is GEOGRAPHICALLY FOCUSED. This facilitates international comparisons.

To calculate GDP, we have to figure out the MARKET VALUE of goods and services.

Market value is the value at market price of final goods and services.

  • Goods that are not traded in a market are not included in GDP. For example: illegal drug transactions, homemakers’ services and the underground economy.

We count only FINAL GOODS AND SERVICES

  • This avoids double counting.

  • INTERMEDIATE GOODS are goods that are used in production of a final product. Examples: cotton and cloth to make a shirt or an Intel Pentium Processor used in a computer.

VALUE ADDED is the increase in the market value of a product that takes place at each stage of the production process.

  • We can compute GDP by adding the value added at every stage of production.

  • Value added is the difference between the value of output and the value of the intermediate goods used in the production of that output.

In the production of a $20 shirt, there are several steps:
The value of the cotton sold by farmer is $1, the value of the cloth woven by textile mill is $5, the value of the shirt when the shirt manufacturer sells wholesale to retailer is $12, and the value of the shirt when the retail store sells it to the consumer is $20.

Adding it all together would overstate GDP. (The value of the shirt is not really $38).

  • Instead, we find out how much value each stage of production added to the shirt: The farmer added - $1, the Mill adds $4, the manufacturer adds $7 and the retail store adds $8 = $20 (or the market value of the final product).

  • So the sum of value added at each stage of production, the total value added, is equal to the market value of the final product.

IMPORTANT DISTINCTION: GDP is not based on ALL goods and services but on ALL FINAL goods and services.

PRODUCED IN A YEAR
The year of production, not the year of sale determines allocation to GDP.

Economists use CHANGES IN INVENTORY to determine the value of goods produced in a year but not sold in that year.

  • INVENTORY is the stock of unsold goods.
    Goods not sold at the end of the year increases the value of the store’s inventory.

  • CHANGES IN INVENTORY can be planned or unplanned.
    In any case it counts the output that is produced but not sold in a given year.

GDP PER CAPITA

As we discussed in Chapter 2, Per capita GDP is the total GDP divided by the population. GDP per capita is a measure of a country’s standard of living. Generally, the higher the GDP per capita, the higher the standard of living.

GDP AS OUTPUT

GDP is a measure of the market value of a nation’s total output in a year.

Economists divide economy into 4 sectors: HOUSEHOLDS, BUSINESSES, GOVERNMENT AND the INTERNATIONAL SECTOR.

PRIVATELY OWNED BUSINESS produces 84% of GDP
GOVERNMENT produces 11% of GDP
HOUSEHOLDS produce 5% of GDP

If there is a foreign firm operating in the U.S., their output is counted in the U.S. GDP because GDP is based on GEOGRAPHICAL BORDERS.

GDP AS EXPENDITURES

GDP is not only output of goods and services from each sector but also the PAYMENT FOR GOODS AND SERVICES.

HOUSEHOLD SPENDING = CONSUMPTION
BUSINESS SPENDING = INVESTMENT
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
NET EXPORTS (Exports – Imports)

GDP = CONSUMPTION + INVESTMENT + GOVERNMENT SPENDING + EXPORTS – IMPORTS

GDP = C + G + I + X (-M)

CONSUMPTION accounts for around 69% OF national expenditures.
Government spending accounts for around 18% of expenditures.
Business spending accounts for around 16% of expenditures.
Net exports are negative (23%) because IMPORTS EXCEED EXPORTS.

GDP AS INCOME

Because one sector’s output is another sectors income, the total value of output also can be computed by adding up the income of all sectors.

INCOME EARNED BY FACTORS OF PRODUCTION:

  • WAGES – earned by workers (58% of GDP)

  • INTEREST – net interest paid by business to households plus the net interest received from foreigners (the interest they pay us, minus the interest we pay them). (6% of GDP)

  • RENT – income earned from selling the use of real property (houses, shops, farms). (2% of GDP)

  • PROFITS – the sum of corporate profits (7% of GDP) plus proprietors’ income (income from sole proprietorships and partnerships) (7% of GDP).

OTHER MEASURES OF OUTPUT AND INCOME

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT refers to the output produced by American-owned factors of production regardless of where they are located. It includes GDP plus receipts of factor income from the rest of the world minus payments of factor income to the rest of the world. (OR From residents living abroad minus income earned by foreign residents from factors of production in the U.S.). So it includes all U.S. business output working outside the country and excludes all foreign-owned factors of production which are working inside the U.S.

NDP or Net Domestic Product is GDP minus depreciation (the consumption of capital in the production process; the wearing out of capital and equipment). It tells us how much output we could consume without reducing our stock of capital and therewith next year’s production possibilities.

  • Gross Investment in GDP includes expenditures to replace capital goods consumed in current production.

  • NDP only includes expenditures on new capital goods.

  • Net investment = gross investment minus capital consumption allowance.

NATIONAL INCOME

National income is the total income earned by U.S. factors of production.

NI = NDP minus indirect business taxes + net foreign factor income.

  • Captures the costs of the factors of production used in producing output.

  • DEPRECIATION reduces GDP to NDP (NDP = GDP-depreciation)

  • NI subtracts depreciation and indirect business taxes. (NI = NDP – indirect business taxes)

PERSONAL INCOME

The amount of income received by households before payment of personal taxes.

DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME

DPI = personal income minus personal taxes (income taxes, excise and real estate taxes on personal property, other personal taxes).

  • Income individuals have for spending or saving.

  • Disposable income = consumption + saving

NOMINAL AND REAL GDP

Nominal GDP measures output in terms of its current dollar value. It doesn’t take inflation into account.

Real GDP is the value of final output produced in a given year adjusted for changing price levels.

1980 = U.S. GDP equal to $2,795 billion
2001 = U.S. GDP equal to $10,082.2 billion

Did US produce 260% more goods and services in 2001 than in 1980?

No, NOMINAL GDP changes when price and when quantities change. (NOMINAL GDP MEASURE PRICE AND OUTPUT CHANGES).

REAL GDP measures output in constant prices.
- It measures the quantity of goods and services produced after eliminating the influence of price changes contained in nominal GDP.

In 1999 nominal GDP was $9,299 billion and in 2000 $9,963 billion
Did GDP really increase by $664 billion?

No, when we adjust for changes in price level, we can see that the actual increase in output was LESS than $664 billion.

We can use 1999 as a BASE PERIOD or a year that we use for comparative analysis of price changes. The price index shows how average prices have changed between the base year and year t. Between 1999 and 2000 average prices rose 2%. This price level change is indexed as 1.02.

The general formula for computing Real GDP is:

Real GDP in Year t = Nominal GDP in year t  
Price Index  
Real GDP in 2000 =
(1999 Prices)     
 $9,963 billion  = $9,767 billion
1.02


So, when we compare the real GDP in 2000 to that of 1999, the change in Real GDP was $469 billion, not $664 billion.

Real GDP is a better measure of changes in output. We prefer more goods and services to higher prices.

Caricature of Big Business
 
 

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